The Effects of the Recession Are Tiny Compared with Population Ageing

by on 5 April, 2009 - 23:29

by: Dick Stroud

The International Monetary Fund estimates that the G 20 nations will, as a result of the recession, have increased their national debts by an average equivalent to nearly 25% of gross domestic product between 2007 and 2014. That is a lot of money.

BUT, to 2050, the cost of the economic crisis will be no more less than 5% of the financial impact created by the ageing of their populations. As the IMF says, “in spite of the large fiscal costs of the crisis, the major threat to long-term fiscal solvency is still represented, at least in advanced countries, by unfavourable demographic trends”.

This factlet is taken from a long and detailed article in today’s FT. It is hard to come to grips with the enormity of the effects of ageing on the world’s major economies.

Original Post: http://www.20plus30.com/blog/2009/04/effects-of-recession-are-tiny-compared.html